The acquisition operator's smallest market is still 79 percent one wallet
On whether Pizza Hut gets bought, 0x6af1…6d4b holds $132,000, four-fifths of the market, the same hand behind GitLab, Perplexity and Nebius.
The Pizza Hut acquisition market is small, but it completes the set: the same wallet that dominates three other buyout bets holds 79 percent of this one too.
On-chain analysis
There is not much money here, $168,000 across 357 wallets, which only makes the concentration starker. One address, 0x6af1…6d4b, holds $132,000 of it, 79 percent, on YES.
A thin market with one large holder is, by itself, unremarkable. The holder is the point. This is the fourth acquisition market in which the same wallet is the controlling position, after GitLab, Perplexity and Nebius.
An operator that turns up again and again as four-fifths of a market, across an entire sector, is exactly the structure a casual bettor never sees and a risk score should never miss.
We are not naming anyone. We are pointing at one wallet and four markets, and letting the pattern carry the weight.
Wallet network
Deeper layerBeyond single-wallet metrics: who is actually behind the flow. We group pseudonymous wallets into controlled-entity candidates using observable on-chain signatures, identical trade size, same-day entry, shared side, single-market lifetime.
Drag any node to explore. Hover to trace its links. Click a wallet for its validated on-chain pages.
- This market
- Dominant wallet
- Coordinated ring
On-chain trade-signature linkage + wallet-age + both-sides. Realized PnL not asserted (needs CTF decoder).
Dominant YES wallet
High confidence- a single address holds 78.7% of all market volume
- 4 trades
Show 1 sample wallet
Coverage & limits: On-chain trade-signature linkage + wallet-age + both-sides. Realized PnL not asserted (needs CTF decoder).
Wallet risk
Cross-marketEach controlling wallet scored across all of its Polymarket activity: ring membership, concentration, wallet freshness, and cross-market footprint, with market-makers down-weighted. Higher is more insider-like.
Signals exposed
concentration=78.7%participant_risk=45/100wash=1Wallets that drove the risk
Open-ended resolution gives the operator a long runway.
“Resolves YES if Pizza Hut (Yum! Brands' unit) is acquired or spun off before January 1, 2027, per credible reporting.”
Every figure is read from on-chain Polygon trade logs for this market and from BlackHart's BRI-PM v0.2 scorer. Polymarket system contracts are excluded from every wallet figure. Entity and wallet-risk groupings are statistical inferences from observable on-chain signatures.
The BlackHart extension overlays this risk score directly on Polymarket , so you see the signal before you place the trade.